No. 01 · Prop Firm Accounts · Traders Launch Live pricing · 30% code applied

Social Media Lies,
Math Doesn’t

Prop firms earn more from evaluation fees than from profit splits. The average buyer spends $600–800 across two or three attempts and withdraws nothing. And every payout screenshot on your feed arrives with a discount code attached — including mine. So here is the same purchase priced honestly, on real published numbers, with the parts that don’t favor me left in.

The advertised return Headline payout ÷ one discounted eval fee. Assumes you pass first try and withdraw the cap.
Expected return, same purchase
Code SALTI →

What the feed doesn’t post

None of these are secrets. They are published industry figures. They simply never appear next to a payout screenshot.

93% Never receive a payout Of everyone who buys a challenge. Roughly 7% ever withdraw a dollar.
42% / 38% Fees vs profit splits Share of industry revenue. The firm earns more from failure than from your winnings.
15% Paid to affiliates Of net industry revenue. Creator marketing is a budget line, not a coincidence.
$600–800 Average spend per trader Across several attempts. Most reset or repurchase at least twice before stopping.
40–50% Lose it within 90 days Of traders who do get funded. Median account longevity is 3–6 months.
$850M Industry revenue, 2026 Up 45% in a year, on a 7% payout rate. The growth is in fees, not trading.
§1

The four errors

Error 1 · Wrong numerator

It quotes the cap, not the average

Across 300,000+ funded accounts the average payout was about 4% of account size. And on this firm the profit target is only $2,000–$6,000 — so the realistic withdrawal is anchored there, not at $20,000.

Error 2 · Wrong denominator

It divides by one eval fee

You do not buy one eval, you buy evals until one passes. At a 35% pass rate that is 2.9 evals per funded account, and the failures are real money.

Error 3 · Missing gate

Passing is not getting paid

Only 45% of funded traders ever reach a single payout. The other 55% pass, get the account, and withdraw nothing. Marketing math skips this gate entirely.

Error 4 · Wrong account size

It is not a $100K account

Max drawdown is $1,000. Your real risk budget is $1,000, not $100,000, and you start on 5 micros. The six-figure number is a label, not capital. See §3.

§2

Pick the plan

Real published Traders Launch pricing, all twelve plans. Everything on this sheet recomputes when you change anything.

Trading hours
Profit split
Account size
Your pass rate
Industry measured: 14%. A $2,000 target on a 1-step eval is easier than average — but 35% still assumes you beat the field.
Funded → paid rate
Industry measured: 45%. The gate nobody advertises.
Lifetime withdrawal
1R = the max drawdown — the only capital genuinely at risk. Gross profit withdrawn per paying trader, before the split.
Monthly cost once funded
Firm advertises no additional fees once funded. Raise this if you pay separately for a platform — TradingView Premium is $59/mo.
Months held funded
How long the account survives, paying or not.
Accounts stacked
Copy-traded across all of them, as most people run it.
Advertised payout
The number in the ad you are debunking.
§3

The account is not what it says

The only number that governs your risk is the max drawdown. Everything else is branding.

Advertised size

What the plan is called, and what the ad puts in the headline.

Real risk budget

Max drawdown, locked at starting balance. of the advertised figure. Lose this and the account is gone.

Target vs risk budget

You must earn your entire risk budget before you can withdraw, starting on .

§4

Where 100 evaluations go

Evals bought
100 accounts
Pass the eval
funded
Reach a payout
get paid
Paid nothing
zero

At the measured industry rates — 14% and 45% — that last row reads 94 out of 100. The widely cited figure is that roughly 7% of everyone who buys a challenge ever sees a payout.

§5

Cost of one funded account

Priced properly: the failed attempts are part of the cost of the pass.

Line itemPer accountStacked
§6

All twelve plans, ranked

Same pass rate, same payout assumption, same discount — only the plan changes. Ranked by return on every dollar spent, which is the right metric when your constraint is budget rather than account slots. Your current selection is highlighted.

#PlanEvalTarget DrawdownEV / accountReturn on spend

Code SALTI →
§7

Where the sign flips

Expected profit per funded account on your selected plan. Rows are your pass rate, columns are the share of funded traders who reach a payout. Green is profitable, red is not.

loses money makes money — colour depth tracks size, so faint means barely either way marks where the row crosses into profit
How each cell is calculated

EV = (paid rate × your share of the withdrawal) − (eval fee ÷ pass rate) − funded-phase costs

Worked example, top-left cell at the default plan: the eval is after your code, and your share of the withdrawal is . At a 10% pass rate you buy 10 evals on average to get one pass, so a pass costs . At a 20% paid rate the expected withdrawal is . That is .

The division is the whole point. Marketing multiplies the payout by your pass rate. The real cost of a pass divides the fee by it — which is why halving your pass rate doubles your cost per funded account instead of shaving a little off the odds.

Notice how flat the surface goes across the top rows. Past a certain pass rate you stop buying edge and start buying the payout gate — and that gate is the one you control least.

§8

What stacking actually does

Five accounts on one copier is not diversification. It is the same single bet, written five times.

Copy-traded — how people run it

Chance you finish the cycle with nothing. One skill draw applied to every account at once. Stacking multiplied your stake, not your odds.

Genuinely independent — hypothetical

Chance of nothing if every account traded a truly uncorrelated strategy. Almost nobody achieves this, which is exactly why the left number is the honest one.

Stacking is a multiplier on the sign of your edge, not a source of one. If expected value per account is positive, five accounts earn five times as much. If it is negative, five accounts lose money five times faster. The decision that matters is the sign, and no amount of stacking changes it — that is set by your pass rate and the payout gate, both of which are the same on one account as on ten.
§9

The honest conclusion

This is what separates the piece from every “prop firms are a scam” video: at a genuinely good pass rate the expected value here is positive. The advertising is not lying about the direction. It is lying about the magnitude and the certainty.

On magnitude

The gap between the advertised return and the expected return is . Not a rounding difference — two orders of magnitude.

On certainty

Expected value averages over outcomes you will never personally experience. The single most likely result is still zero. An average of $500 does not mean a typical result of $500.

On the input that matters

Every figure here is dominated by your own pass rate, which no firm's marketing can tell you. The only honest estimate comes from your own logged results.

End on the breakeven pass rate, not on a verdict. Hand the viewer the threshold, tell them to go find out whether they clear it, and the piece becomes useful instead of merely cynical.

§10

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Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to buy an evaluation account. Figures are cross-industry averages and published plan terms, not a prediction of your results.